In the advice, the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change provides European institutions with its assessment of the draft joint scenarios that help the EU identify and select energy infrastructure development projects that could benefit from financial and regulatory support.
The Advisory Board assessed the draft scenario report and underlying data jointly published on 22 May 2024 by European transmission system operators, ENTSO-E and ENTSOG. The assessment revealed several methodological issues with the draft scenarios, including inadequate carbon budget calculation and use of outdated climate data.
The European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change found that the draft scenarios for long-term energy infrastructure planning and development at EU level are not compatible with the EU’s climate 2030 targets for energy and climate and its 2050 climate neutrality objective, and calls for considerable improvement to the draft scenarios used for cross-EU energy network development.